The Shift in Pharma M&A: Moving Towards Targeted, High-Impact Deals

The pharma industry shifts to targeted M&A in 2025, focusing on AI, biotech, and strategic deals. Explore key trends, regulatory shifts, and growth drivers.

In 2024, life sciences companies pivoted away from large-scale mergers and acquisitions (M&A) in favor of smaller, smarter deals. According to the 2025 edition of the EY M&A Firepower report, the industry is expanding its dealmaking strategies by exploring new geographies, embracing emerging technologies, and targeting innovations that promise high returns.

While the overall deal value dipped significantly due to the digestion of multi-billion dollar deals from the previous year, deal volume remained robust, with biopharma transactions increasing by 17% year over year. Companies opted for bolt-on acquisitions, early-stage investments, and strategic partnerships rather than mega-mergers. This trend is expected to persist in 2025, fueled by strong fundamentals, including an industry-wide dealmaking Firepower reserve of $1.3 trillion.

A Reset Year for Life Sciences M&A

The value of life sciences M&A declined by 41% in 2024 as the industry recalibrated following the acquisition spree of 2023. Many large pharmaceutical companies focused on integrating previous acquisitions while navigating regulatory hurdles, including Federal Trade Commission (FTC) scrutiny and the implementation of the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA). With a new U.S. administration set to take office in 2025, potential deregulation may unlock new dealmaking opportunities.

Despite the decline in total deal value, the industry’s appetite for strategic acquisitions remained strong. Instead of acquiring fully de-risked assets, companies focused on earlier-stage opportunities, particularly in high-potential therapeutic areas and innovative technology sectors such as artificial intelligence (AI).

Drivers and Restraints Influencing M&A Activity in 2025

Key Drivers:

  • Strong Dealmaking Firepower: The industry holds $1.3 trillion in M&A reserves, with companies like Novo Nordisk and Eli Lilly leading the charge.
  • Growth Gaps and Patent Expirations: Patent expirations will create a $240 billion revenue gap for the top 25 biopharma firms by 2030, necessitating acquisitions to sustain growth.
  • Potential Regulatory Tailwinds: A new administration may introduce corporate tax cuts and relax FTC scrutiny, making M&A activity more feasible.

Key Restraints:

  • High Valuations: Attractive assets remain expensive, with companies paying significant premiums for desirable targets.
  • Limited De-Risked Assets: With fewer high-value, late-stage assets available, companies must look to unconventional targets, such as AI and technology firms.
  • Rising Biotech Funding: A 27% increase in venture capital funding in 2024 enables biotechs to pursue independent growth rather than seeking acquisition, potentially driving up acquisition costs.

AI and Emerging Technologies: The New Frontiers of M&A

AI-driven partnerships and acquisitions have surged over the past five years, underscoring the technology’s potential to revolutionize drug discovery, operations, and commercialization.

Challenges in AI Integration:

  • Regulatory Hurdles: Life sciences data carries strict regulatory requirements, making AI implementation complex.
  • Full-Scale Adoption: AI must be embedded across workflows rather than used in isolated applications.
  • Cultural Integration: The life sciences and tech industries operate differently, necessitating a structured approach to collaboration.

With life sciences CEOs identifying AI as the most significant disruptor of the next year, companies must develop robust strategies to harness AI’s potential effectively. Notably, Recursion Pharmaceuticals’ $712 million acquisition of Exscientia in 2024 marked the largest life sciences AI M&A deal to date.

Expanding Beyond Traditional Innovation Hubs

Pharma companies are broadening their horizons beyond traditional innovation centers, with China emerging as a significant player in biopharma R&D. Next-generation radiopharmaceuticals, multi-specific antibodies, and antibody-drug conjugates (ADCs) have attracted substantial investment. However, geopolitical tensions and legislative changes, such as the impending US BIOSECURE Act, could influence cross-border collaborations.

The Strategic Importance of M&A in Life Sciences

M&A is no longer a supplementary growth strategy—it is at the core of life sciences companies’ long-term success. The numbers tell the story:

  • 45% of revenues in 2023 for top biopharma companies came from M&A-derived products.
  • 6.9% CAGR in M&A-driven revenues over the past decade, surpassing organic growth.
  • 9% CAGR in alliance/joint venture-derived revenues, indicating the growing importance of strategic partnerships.

Key Takeaways:

  • Smaller, high-impact deals will drive industry growth, offering strong returns for companies that can navigate the evolving landscape.
  • Therapeutic focus and portfolio prioritization will remain crucial, with companies divesting non-core assets and doubling down on priority areas.
  • AI and emerging technologies will play a transformative role, requiring new integration strategies.
  • Global diversification will continue as companies seek high-value innovations beyond traditional markets.
  • End-to-end execution will be critical, with culture and strategic alignment determining the success of M&A deals.

Across all dealmaking strategies, end-to-end execution is critical to realizing a strong return on investment, with culture and change experience at the center of execution strategies. As the pharmaceutical industry navigates this evolving landscape, staying informed about emerging trends and strategic shifts is crucial. Pharmalinkage is closely monitoring these developments, offering in-depth insights and analyses on the latest M&A activities, technological advancements, and regulatory changes shaping the sector. Follow Pharmalinkage for timely updates and expert perspectives on the future of life sciences dealmaking.

Pharma Industry

Pharma Industry

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